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市场存在行情“催化剂” 如何看待军工领域的投资机遇?

简介:

市场存在行情“催化剂” 如何看待军工领域的投资机遇?

年复杂多变的国际政治局势,让军工股成为市场一个重要的投资主题。我们该如何看待军工领域的投资机遇呢?博时军工主题基金经理兰乔:我国在十三五前...... 市场存在行情“催化剂” 如何看待军工领域的投资机遇?

正文:

年[nian]复[fu]杂[za]多[duo]变[bian]的[de]国[guo]际[ji]政[zheng]治[zhi]局[ju]势[shi],让[rang]军[jun]工[gong]股[gu]成[cheng]为[wei]市[shi]场[chang]一[yi]个[ge]重[zhong]要[yao]的[de]投[tou]资[zi]主[zhu]题[ti]。我[wo]们[men]该[gai]如[ru]何[he]看[kan]待[dai]军[jun]工[gong]领[ling]域[yu]的[de]投[tou]资[zi]机[ji]遇[yu]呢[ne]?博[bo]时[shi]军[jun]工[gong]主[zhu]题[ti]基[ji]金[jin]经[jing]理[li]兰[lan]乔[qiao]:我[wo]国[guo]在[zai]十[shi]三[san]五[wu]前[qian]是[shi]武[wu]器[qi]装[zhuang]备[bei]能[nen]力[li]建[jian]设[she]期[qi],十[shi]四[si]五[wu]正[zheng]式[shi]跨[kua]越[yue]进[jin]入[ru]装[zhuang]备[bei]放[fang]量[liang]建[jian]设[she]期[qi],军[jun]工[gong]板[ban]块[kuai]的[de]成[cheng]长[chang]确[que]定[ding]性[xing]高[gao]。第[di]一[yi],预[yu]计[ji]“十[shi]四[si]五[wu]”期[qi]间[jian]行[xing]业[ye]增[zeng]长[chang]加[jia]速[su];第[di]二[er],板[ban]块[kuai]估[gu]值[zhi]水[shui]平[ping]横[heng]向[xiang]、纵[zong]向[xiang]比[bi]较[jiao]仍[reng]具[ju]有[you]吸[xi]引[yin]力[li];第[di]三[san],国[guo]防[fang]军[jun]工[gong]是[shi]大[da]国[guo]博[bo]弈[yi]主[zhu]战[zhan]场[chang]、武[wu]器[qi]装[zhuang]备[bei]消[xiao]耗[hao]属[shu]性[xing]增[zeng]强[qiang]。大[da]国[guo]博[bo]弈[yi],落[luo]实[shi]在[zai]细[xi]分[fen]科[ke]技[ji]领[ling]域[yu]上[shang]是[shi]国[guo]产[chan]化[hua]的[de]不[bu]断[duan]推[tui]进[jin],而[er]国[guo]防[fang]军[jun]工[gong]是[shi]所[suo]有[you]科[ke]技[ji]战[zhan]的[de]最[zui]高[gao]阵[zhen]地[di],是[shi]大[da]国[guo]博[bo]弈[yi]主[zhu]战[zhan]场[chang]。从[cong]国[guo]家[jia]意[yi]志[zhi]自[zi]上[shang]而[er]下[xia]看[kan],军[jun]工[gong]行[xing]业[ye]的[de]投[tou]入[ru]增[zeng]长[chang]确[que]定[ding]性[xing]高[gao],从[cong]产[chan]业[ye]链[lian]反[fan]馈[kui]看[kan],一[yi]些[xie]企[qi]业[ye]已[yi]经[jing]出[chu]现[xian]订[ding]单[dan]显[xian]著[zhu]增[zeng]长[chang]的[de]迹[ji]象[xiang]。从[cong]形[xing]成[cheng]战[zhan]备[bei]能[nen]力[li]角[jiao]度[du]看[kan],消[xiao]耗[hao]性[xing]装[zhuang]备[bei]、高[gao]频[pin]使[shi]用[yong]装[zhuang]备[bei]的[de]大[da]幅[fu]放[fang]量[liang]增[zeng]长[chang]势[shi]在[zai]必[bi]行[xing]。鹏[peng]华[hua]基[ji]金[jin]量[liang]化[hua]及[ji]衍[yan]生[sheng]品[pin]投[tou]资[zi]部[bu]副[fu]总[zong]经[jing]理[li]兼[jian]鹏[peng]华[hua]中[zhong]证[zheng]国[guo]防[fang]指[zhi]数[shu]基[ji]金[jin]基[ji]金[jin]经[jing]理[li]陈[chen]龙[long]:看[kan]这[zhe]轮[lun]的[de]国[guo]防[fang]军[jun]工[gong]行[xing]情[qing],核[he]心[xin]观[guan]点[dian]是[shi]国[guo]防[fang]军[jun]工[gong]资[zi]产[chan]价[jia]值[zhi]的[de]重[zhong]估[gu]。本[ben]来[lai]国[guo]防[fang]军[jun]工[gong]行[xing]业[ye]有[you]其[qi]自[zi]身[shen]的[de]周[zhou]期[qi],即[ji]从[cong]型[xing]号[hao]研[yan]发[fa]、定[ding]型[xing]、试[shi]生[sheng]产[chan]到[dao]列[lie]装[zhuang]等[deng],而[er]且[qie]这[zhe]个[ge]周[zhou]期[qi]基[ji]本[ben]上[shang]与[yu]“十[shi]四[si]五[wu]”是[shi]契[qi]合[he]的[de]。因[yin]为[wei]大[da]国[guo]博[bo]弈[yi]升[sheng]级[ji]、地[di]缘[yuan]政[zheng]治[zhi]冲[chong]突[tu]刺[ci]激[ji]新[xin]增[zeng]备[bei]战[zhan](储[chu]备[bei]+实[shi]战[zhan]演[yan]练[lian])需[xu]求[qiu],也[ye]增[zeng]强[qiang]军[jun]工[gong]的[de]消[xiao]耗[hao]属[shu]性[xing],加[jia]快[kuai]需[xu]求[qiu]爆[bao]发[fa]节[jie]奏[zou]。这[zhe]是[shi]最[zui]重[zhong]要[yao]的[de]产[chan]业[ye]逻[luo]辑[ji]。中[zhong]小[xiao]投[tou]资[zi]者[zhe]有[you]哪[na]些[xie]投[tou]资[zi]渠[qu]道[dao]呢[ne]?达[da]晨[chen]财[cai]智[zhi]创[chuang]投[tou]公[gong]绪[xu]华[hua]表[biao]示[shi]:对[dui]于[yu]中[zhong]小[xiao]投[tou]资[zi]来[lai]讲[jiang]的[de]话[hua],它[ta]的[de]投[tou]资[zi]渠[qu]道[dao]有[you]两[liang]种[zhong]。一[yi]种[zhong]在[zai]二[er]级[ji]市[shi]场[chang],军[jun]工[gong]类[lei]的[de]概[gai]念[nian]股[gu],这[zhe]个[ge]有[you]公[gong]开[kai]的[de]信[xin]息[xi],比[bi]如[ru]像[xiang]中[zhong]航[hang]沈[shen]飞[fei],承[cheng]担[dan]军[jun]机[ji]舰[jian]载[zai]机[ji]的[de]生[sheng]产[chan];内[na]蒙[meng]一[yi]机[ji]承[cheng]担[dan]国[guo]内[na]的[de]坦[tan]克[ke]生[sheng]产[chan]。通[tong]过[guo]公[gong]开[kai]信[xin]息[xi]都[du]能[nen]够[gou]了[liao]解[jie]到[dao]它[ta]们[men]的[de]经[jing]营[ying]情[qing]况[kuang]、财[cai]务[wu]情[qing]况[kuang]、发[fa]展[zhan]规[gui]划[hua]。这[zhe]个[ge]相[xiang]对[dui]来[lai]说[shuo]还[huai]比[bi]较[jiao]透[tou]明[ming]的[de]。第[di]二[er]类[lei]渠[qu]道[dao]就[jiu]是[shi]在[zai]一[yi]级[ji]市[shi]场[chang],选[xuan]择[ze]一[yi]些[xie]优[you]质[zhi]的[de]标[biao]的[de]来[lai]进[jin]行[xing]投[tou]资[zi]。它[ta]会[hui]存[cun]在[zai]一[yi]定[ding]的[de]信[xin]息[xi]的[de]壁[bi]垒[lei],这[zhe]也[ye]是[shi]这[zhe]个[ge]行[xing]业[ye]特[te]点[dian]。对[dui]于[yu]投[tou]资[zi]人[ren]来[lai]讲[jiang],要[yao]突[tu]破[po]壁[bi]垒[lei],自[zi]己[ji]要[yao]有[you]能[nen]力[li],通[tong]过[guo]多[duo]种[zhong]渠[qu]道[dao]去[qu]获[huo]取[qu]到[dao]有[you]价[jia]值[zhi]的[de]信[xin]息[xi]来[lai]辅[fu]助[zhu]决[jue]策[ce]再[zai]投[tou]资[zi]。还[huai]有[you]一[yi]部[bu]分[fen]就[jiu]是[shi]选[xuan]择[ze]一[yi]些[xie]专[zhuan]业[ye]化[hua]的[de]基[ji]金[jin],从[cong]LP的[de]形[xing]式[shi]来[lai]去[qu]进[jin]入[ru]这[zhe]个[ge]领[ling]域[yu],这[zhe]应[ying]该[gai]说[shuo]对[dui]于[yu]中[zhong]小[xiao]投[tou]资[zi]者[zhe]来[lai]讲[jiang]都[du]是[shi]相[xiang]类[lei]同[tong]的[de]道[dao]理[li]。

原标题:

市场存在行情“催化剂” 如何看待军工领域的投资机遇?

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